NFL Week 4: Daily Fantasy Preview
You have to love the unpredictability of Fantasy Football. Week 3 finished up close to how I had planned. The big guns that hadn’t scored a touchdown yet this season got on the board but none of my top guys hit it big. I still had a decent week though thanks to the consistency of Zack Ertz and the Packers offense. The Raiders and Miami were huge bust for me. I had a few lineups with Jay Cutler in them that I would have been better off using my entry fee on a Steve’s steak Wiz/Wit.
Overall, I am profiting this season but I still haven’t been able to pull a big win down in the first 3 weeks, hopefully, that all changes for week 4. I absolutely love this slate of games and I think that we can expect some large scoring contest. Let’s make some money!!!Here are my Week 4 picks:
I am really not happy that this game is not on most big GPPs this week since it is an early start in London. I truly believe that Brees will blow up for a 3-5 TD week. Everything seems to line up well for him in this matchup. A stack with Michael Thomas seems like a great way to start a lineup but stacking with Ginn, or Coleman may be the best way to be contrarian.
I expect Trevor to be very low owned this week which is great for big tournaments. Stacking him with Sanders, Thomas, or both could result in a GPP take-down. Oakland is a good team but defensively they are not. Look at how Cousins picked them apart last week. Expect the same form Semian.
Deep Sleeper: Andy Dalton
I know…I know….Dalton has not looked great at all but he is going against the Browns this week. Cleveland still signifies a green light for a QB play and this may be the matchup to get Dalton back to normal. At his cost a multiple TD game could help you fit in some studs at other positions which will result in non-chalk lineup.
McCoy is going up against the defense in the NFL that allows the most reception yards to running backs. This matchup seems too good to be true! I am going all in on McCoy. Please do not burn me again…
He runs, he catches, and he is on the field for a majority of Minnesota’s offensive plays. Dalvin has exceeded expectations this season and a matchup against Detroit has been drooling for his results. I expect him to again top 100 yards rushing with possibly 50+ receiving yards as well. He will be high owned but you do not want to be the person to leave him off of your lineup if he blows up.
Deep Sleeper: Joe Mixon
Finally!!!! Mixon is receiving the bulk of playing time at RB for Cincinnati and I expect his usage to go up as he becomes more ingrained in the Bengals offense. A matchup against Cleveland is always a spot to target. Stacking him with Dalton may not be a bad idea.
Odell Beckham Jr
As Beckham goes the Giants go. We saw that last week as OBJ led the Giants back before a heartbreaking loss to Philly. The G-Men are at their best when they are running a no-huddle offense and focusing on Beckham. He is one of the most talented WR in the NFL and is the clear focal point of an offense that is desperate to score points. The Bucs secondary is not exactly great. I expect OBJ to put up multiple TDs again this week and the Giants offense to finally get on track.
Slay will be shadowing Stephon Diggs all day which means that Thielen could see a large amount of targets across the middle. Minnesota’s offense lines up as a potential target for players each week. They take a step back with Sam Bradford out but as we saw last week they can still put up some big individual numbers.
Deep Sleeper: Jordan Matthews
J-Matt has a history of blowing up in games where defenses leave the middle open and Atlanta tends to give up yardage to slot receivers and running backs. This could be the week that the Bills decide to use the player that they traded for in August and expect to be a big part of their offense. He is a very cheap option (under $4k) that could result in a big pay day.
Ertz will stay my top play until he proves me wrong. A matchup against the Chargers does not seem like the week to get off of him. While WR, Alshon Jeffrey will have a tough matchup this week, Ertz will have one of the best matchups on paper. Ertz is usually one of Wentz’s go to receivers and I expect him to look to control time of procession by utilizing short passes rather than runs this week. Ertz could be in for a HUGE day.
Tom Brady is back to his old ways and his number one red-zone target continues to be Gronk. I do not care if he only plays one half of football if that results in 70+ yards and a TD I will take it all day.
Deep Sleeper: Jared Cook
I am expecting a high scoring game between Denver and Oakland. Offenses against the Broncos usually tend to use their Tight end more and avoid challenging the Denver corners. With Cook’s ability to catch passes I can see him being a nice option for Carr in the red-zone. Cook basically lines up as a bigger WR in many sets. While many people will avoid this game all together and other will go after Copper or Crabtree I will be centering in on Cooks as a deep sleeper for me in the Milli-Maker.
I will focus each week on whoever is playing the New York Jets. They are not a good offensive team and the Jags have impressed defensively up to this point. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Jacksonville get 2+ Interceptions this week and hold NYJ to below 10 points.
It is not really a stretch to take the two defenses playing the Jets and the 49ers but my approach each week does not change. I do not mind paying up for a defense that I fully expect to produce. Some DFS players try to find the defense that will exceed all expectations but truly I feel much more comfortable playing a D that I know will have results.