Miami Dolphins -2.5 @ Buffalo Bills +2.5 over/under 43
Rich Incognito may be the best bad thing to ever happen to an NFL team. Just when you thought it was all unraveling for Miami, they rattle off three straight December wins, two coming against division opponents. This week, they try and remain perfect in December on the road at Buffalo against the Bills. The Dolphins hang tough in games, and I think they go on the road to win their fourth straight this week in Buffalo.
Miami Dolphins 24 Buffalo Bills 20
New Orleans Saints +3 @ Carolina Panthers -3 over/under 47
Panthers are a great home team (6-1) and the Saints have been awful on the road (3-4). Drew Brees coming off a beat down in St. Louis last week is the only thing holding me back from betting my first born child on the Panthers. I think Carolina handles the Saints at home and return the favor for their loss in New Orleans a few weeks back to split the season series. Carolina is 7-2-1 in last 10 games against the spread; New Orleans is 4-6. Don’t overthink this one too much, Carolina will take this huge divisional game in front of their home crowd and prove to any doubters they are a dangerous playoff team.
Carolina Panthers 27 New Orleans Saints 24
Dallas Cowboys -3 @ Washington Redskins +3 over/under 53.5
Tony Romo is in the midst of his annual December collapse. Now the Cowboys go on the road to square off against division rival Redskins who have a new QB under center, Kirk Cousins. Cousins brought his team back last week in Atlanta. Instead of tying the game with an extra point, they went for a 2-point conversion and missed so they lost 27-26. They are clearly not rolling over for anyone, and they will play this reeling Cowboys team tough this week in front of their home crowd. I think the Cowboys pull away slightly to win this one, and then probably lose next week when it is all on the line against the Eagles to finish 8-8 and miss the playoffs. But let’s not get too ahead of ourselves, Cowboys win this week.
Dallas Cowboys 30 Washington Redskins 23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 @ St. Louis Cardinals -5.5 over/under 42.5
I like the Rams to win at home where they normally play well. Bucs are going to have a hard time on offense against this Rams defensive front, and that will be the deciding factor. Keeping it simple, Rams win.
St Louis Rams 23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16
Chicago Bears +3 @ Philadelphia Eagles -3 over/under 56
We watched the Eagles came back down to earth last week against the Vikings, after Matt Asiata made his first NFL start at RB and ran for three scores. This week, Philly will see a heavy dose of Matt Forte and Michael Bush on the ground. Jay Cutler played his first game back from injury last week and understandably showed some rust. He will undoubtedly look better this week, and with Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery on the outside, the Eagles are going to have a tough time slowing this team down. The Eagles have a potent offensive attack themselves, and the Bears are vulnerable against the run, a matchup that must have LeSean McCoy licking his chops. I think we’re in for a shootout in this one, and the Bears come out on top.
Chicago Bears 34 Philadelphia Eagles 30
Cleveland Browns +2 @ New York Jets -2 over/under 40.5
Nothing too exciting to see here. The Jets play well at home, but they will be tested by Josh Gordon and this Browns team. Not a big fan of this game, but if I had to pick I think the Jets will win at home, or get slaughtered; bet accordingly.
New York Jets 23 Cleveland Browns 20
Indianapolis Colts +7 @ Kansas City Chiefs -7 over/under 44
I love the over in this one, especially in a 3 team teaser at 34. The Chiefs defense has been vulnerable lately and their offense has been scoring a ton. 167 points over the last 4 games to be exact, that’s roughly 42 points/game. Tough to call with the 7 point line, but I think the Chiefs take this one, considering it seems every time the Colts win one, a head-scratching loss is bound to follow.
Kansas City Chiefs 31 Indianapolis Colts 23
Minnesota Vikings +7 @ Cincinnati Bengals -7 over/under 44
Another game where I like the over. Matt Cassel has played well under center for the Vikings, and the Bengals will undoubtedly bounce back at home after a tough road loss to the Steelers. The Bengals have won their last four home games and covered the spread; I expect them to extend that streak this week.
Cincinnati Bengals 27 Minnesota Vikings 17
Denver Broncos -10.5 @ Houston Texans +10.5 over/under 51.5
The Broncos lost to the Chargers at home last week, and it will not happen again. I would pick the Broncos in a survivor pool this week, and I think they win this one convincingly. The Texans can’t seem to get anything going against anybody, and that won’t change this week against Denver. Texans will lose their 13th straight game this week, convincingly.
Denver Broncos 31 Houston Texans 20
Tennessee Titans -5.5 @ Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 over/under 44
The Jags have been averaging about 26 points per game over their last three. The Titans have been losing some crazy games, but I think they come into Jacksonville and win by a touchdown. The Jags went into Tennessee and won the previous matchup this year 29-27 for their first win of the year. I think the Titans will be seeking vengeance for that this Sunday.
Tennessee Titans 27 Jacksonville Jaguars 20
Arizona Cardinals +10.5 @ Seattle Seahawks -10.5 over/under 44
Buy the half point and stick Seattle in a couple parlays giving the 10. Russel Wilson hasn’t lost a game in his 2 year career at home, and I just don’t think this Cardinal’s offense is the team that will come in and challenge this boisterous defense/12thman. Seahawks win and cover in this one. They beat Drew Brees and that offense at home 34-7 just a couple weeks back, good luck Carson Palmer.
Seattle Seahawks 30 Arizona Cardinals 16
New York Giants +9.5 @ Detroit Lions -9.5 over/under 48.5
After being shut out for the second time this year, what can you expect from this Giants team? I’m not too sure, but I feel that New York keeps it close in this one. This team was embarassed after hitting rock bottom at home last week in a 23-0 loss to the Seahwaks, and a lot of jobs are under fire for the Giants. Meanwhile, the Lions have lost 4 out of their last 5 and they are searching for answers as well. A combined turnover ratio of -30 between these teams is a number to watch for, who can secure the ball? That is your winner. I buy a half point and take the Giants to bounce back and show something. Detroit should win a tight one.
Detroit Lions 30 New York Giants 24
New England Patriots +2.5 @ Baltimore Ravens -2.5 over/under 45
I feel a low scoring, field goal type game here. If either of these teams loses, they keep it close, and Brady and Belichick do not lose 2 straight games. I love the idea of teasing the patriots to +12.5. I think this is a clear field goal winning game, and wouldn’t be surprised either way it goes. I have to take the hotter team though and that is the Ravens at home to win by a field goal. Patriots are 1-6 ATS on the road this year and seem to be struggling without Gronk while the Ravens are hitting their stride and will go for their fifth straight win.
Baltimore Ravens 23 New England Patriots 20
Atlanta Falcons +11.5 @ San Francisco 49ers -11.5 over/under 45
The Falcons lost to the two teams that emulate the 49ers most this year, the Panthers and Seahwaks, by 24 and 23 points. I think the 49ers win by three-scores as well, and cover the large spread at home. I like the 49ers a lot this Monday night.
San Francisco 49ers 31 Atlanta Falcons 13
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Green Bay Packers
*No line available yet considering QB uncertainty for Packers
Assuming Aaron Rodgers doesn’t play, which all indications would lean that way, I would say that the Steelers win on the road, they are 7-3 in last 10 against spread and have been playing typical Steeler football lately.
*Parlay of the week *Teaser of the week: 10 point, 3 team
49ers -11.5 Colts/Chiefs over 34
Seahawks -10 Broncos -.5
Cowboys -3 Patriots +12.5